Hello Dolly!
NHC: Dolly Track
If you haven’t heard by now, TS Dolly is put a bull’s-eye on the South Texas Coast. A year ago, I would probably be on like hour 12 or 13 at work at be prepared to work 24 hours plus on Tuesday into Wednesday.
As of Monday night, the “official” track has it making landfall just north of Brownsville, I’d guess somewhere close to Port Mansfield, Texas. But several of the models as of this evening have begun to move it closer to Brownsville and the Mexico border.
The South Florida Water Management District has a great graphic of several hurricane model plots.
The good thing is the farther south of Port Mansfield, the less impact a storm would have on Corpus Christi. I still know a lot of people down there and wouldn’t want anyone I know to be harmed in a storm. My old web site has gone into “hurricane” mode and is keeping the folks up-to-date on the latest information. Hurricane preparedness was one of the things we took very seriously.
One of the benefits of South Texas is there really is nothing between Raymondville and Sarita. (see map below) If a storm were to make landfall somewhere near Port Mansfield, the worst of the storm would only affect about 500 people and a bunch of cattle. (Hurricane Allen a Cat 5 hurricane made landfall in this area.) For those who don’t know most of this area is part of the Armstrong Ranch where Dick Cheney accidentally shot a lawyer a few years back. We’ll see where Dolly decides to go in the next few days.
Posted: July 21st, 2008 under Just another entry.
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